Georgian-Russian Conflict and Its Influence on the Energy and Security Situation in the Black Sea – Caspian Region.

Abstract

In this article author analyzes the influence of the Russian-Georgian
crisis of August 2008 on the security and energy situation in the Black
Sea region. The main threats and risks due to the Russian-Georgian
crisis 2008 in the Black Sea region may be considered as activation of
the situation in the separatist regions of Moldova and Azerbaijan, security
of the transport routes, pipelines, energy resources supply from
the Caspian basin. For Ukraine – complication of the relations with
Russian Federation, aggravation of the Black Sea Fleet status problem,
possibility to use South Ossetia Scenario in the Crimea, difficulties for
the realization of the “White Stream” Project. Author also considers
positions of the third parties in particularly the EU, Turkey, Armenia,
Belarus and other CIS states and how the conflict touches their interests
and relations with parties to conflict. Events of August 2008
demonstrated which mechanisms the Russian Federation is ready to
use to prevent post-soviet states from the Euroatlantic integration.
And the same time the conflict has demonstrated how six days crisis in
such interconnected and important region as the Wider Black Sea can
influence and impact not only on the regional players and neighbors
but on the common European security and stability.